Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2038.475371 2213.649648 2390.634371 2582.544885 2784.468967 2990.336802 3215.794511
2025-06-29 1738.494639 1999.039426 2271.934601 2577.894620 2910.182541 3259.017988 3651.769796
2025-07-06 1497.422401 1801.989904 2130.111187 2507.428908 2926.900984 3376.612614 3892.861659
2025-07-13 1409.202087 1757.224835 2140.400233 2589.520194 3097.495924 3650.435616 4294.008806
2025-07-20 1314.964310 1694.726610 2121.268650 2629.883293 3213.987980 3858.274756 4617.120056
2025-07-27 1217.892803 1620.326399 2081.006330 2639.237211 3289.396305 4015.235925 4879.301161
2025-08-03 1126.136546 1545.231277 2033.829359 2634.961258 3344.311179 4145.056129 5107.586976
2025-08-10 1055.108617 1490.067177 2005.788963 2649.122879 3417.237931 4292.882226 5354.454549
2025-08-17 977.712828 1422.090593 1958.075719 2635.983668 3454.807240 4397.254357 5549.272075
2025-08-24 926.024282 1383.127631 1942.938681 2659.626126 3534.041231 4548.808201 5797.980689
2025-08-31 859.987988 1321.934757 1897.015933 2642.767483 3562.268186 4638.519155 5972.995521
2025-09-07 830.253853 1306.262327 1906.687847 2693.268146 3671.146385 4823.360960 6260.029201
2025-09-14 782.488532 1264.987544 1882.927272 2701.922974 3729.656056 4949.688989 6480.430374
2025-09-21 732.101731 1217.623872 1849.317068 2696.562017 3769.844914 5053.535118 6674.186040
2025-09-28 658.758554 1134.529056 1765.511574 2623.946376 3723.642753 5050.535680 6737.893681
2025-10-05 651.398262 1143.788231 1803.734277 2708.549759 3874.662650 5288.312645 7092.912524
2025-10-12 628.613866 1129.584474 1809.473780 2750.138267 3970.986211 5459.056819 7367.087379
2025-10-19 595.844586 1099.097837 1791.742089 2759.775263 4025.891598 5578.349732 7578.561315
2025-10-26 560.369514 1062.723136 1764.396506 2755.369948 4061.829758 5673.517698 7760.235993
2025-11-02 533.525672 1037.920332 1751.965591 2769.959736 4121.591338 5798.009157 7977.930909
2025-11-09 499.305647 999.987382 1719.614104 2756.423295 4143.888516 5874.979432 8136.665212
2025-11-16 478.934664 982.600338 1715.609148 2780.780046 4215.256581 6013.525788 8371.862801
2025-11-23 447.293124 945.597312 1682.038381 2763.412284 4230.893059 6081.059637 8518.422747